Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.049680 0.057914 0.066957 0.077608 0.089792 0.103274 0.119303
2025-05-11 0.037162 0.047890 0.060758 0.077260 0.097779 0.122365 0.153964
2025-05-18 0.028101 0.039605 0.054526 0.075133 0.102663 0.137955 0.186368
2025-05-25 0.021996 0.033608 0.049760 0.073579 0.107457 0.153490 0.220247
2025-06-01 0.018121 0.029774 0.047028 0.073989 0.114491 0.172363 0.260383
2025-06-08 0.014659 0.025797 0.043282 0.072114 0.117659 0.185786 0.293958
2025-06-15 0.013095 0.024472 0.043264 0.075722 0.129244 0.212469 0.349484
2025-06-22 0.011181 0.022167 0.041239 0.075694 0.134906 0.230454 0.393249
2025-06-29 0.009331 0.019606 0.038334 0.073673 0.136866 0.242509 0.428468
2025-07-06 0.007970 0.017693 0.036243 0.072701 0.140337 0.257148 0.468993
2025-07-13 0.007420 0.017276 0.036835 0.076635 0.152820 0.288064 0.539569
2025-07-20 0.006808 0.016612 0.036834 0.079402 0.163385 0.316475 0.608088
2025-07-27 0.005787 0.014893 0.034512 0.077407 0.164942 0.329256 0.650663
2025-08-03 0.005031 0.013629 0.032939 0.076711 0.168922 0.346847 0.703603
2025-08-10 0.004271 0.012194 0.030763 0.074428 0.169418 0.357841 0.745121
2025-08-17 0.003672 0.011034 0.029014 0.072805 0.171036 0.371066 0.791933
2025-08-24 0.003278 0.010328 0.028206 0.073169 0.176871 0.393098 0.857709
2025-08-31 0.002818 0.009337 0.026541 0.071293 0.177552 0.404638 0.903332
2025-09-07 0.002680 0.009240 0.027111 0.074853 0.190825 0.443483 1.007833
2025-09-14 0.002394 0.008640 0.026275 0.074820 0.195795 0.465074 1.078009
2025-09-21 0.002068 0.007835 0.024751 0.072818 0.195869 0.476008 1.126367
2025-09-28 0.001822 0.007232 0.023685 0.071855 0.198323 0.492366 1.187656
2025-10-05 0.001760 0.007242 0.024387 0.075747 0.213216 0.537992 1.316728